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Showing posts with the label Outlook

Bitcoin's Bullish Divergence Confluence

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 Hello, this is Chartinfo. Today, we're going to uncover the hidden intentions of the whales in Bitcoin. To get straight to the point, if Bitcoin was going to crash, it shouldn't have dropped like this. Even as the price dropped, it continuously formed bullish divergences. Let me show you what it looks like on the chart. https://www.tradingview.com/x/3mGOI0Ja/ Weekly bullish divergence https://www.tradingview.com/x/Tv9TuneI/ Daily bullish divergence https://www.tradingview.com/x/4YfzkLkk/ 4-hour bullish divergence https://www.tradingview.com/x/cDCzegSX/ 15-minute bullish divergence That's a massive stack of divergences, right? Now is not the time to go short. It won't be too late to short if this bounce attempt fails. I recommend looking for a long entry on the dip, and if this stack of bullish divergences ends up failing, then you can try going short! I don't think I'll be looking at shorts until we hit 70k. Stop Leaving Money on the Table – Get 90% rebate Char...

[Bitcoin Chart Analysis] $73k Sharp Drop, Healthy Correction or Start of a Downward Wave?

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Hello! This is WBT from the ChartInfo team. After Bitcoin (BTC) hit a high around $82,000 ($82k), it has now dropped sharply to the $73,000 ($73k) range. Right now, we are at a very critical crossroads that will decide whether this drop is just a simple "retracement (correction) within an upward wave" or the "start of a new downward wave." Technical Reason Why Defending $73k is a Must: Long-Term Moving Averages Currently, Bitcoin has not only deep-dived into the daily Ichimoku Cloud but is also testing strong support near the daily long-term Moving Average (MA). The key thing to watch here is that the long-term moving average is starting to curve downward. If this final line of defense breaks to the downside, there is a very high risk that the downtrend could stretch out for a long time. That is why holding the current $73k level is more important than anything else right now. Risk of a Bearish Kumo (Red Cloud) Forming on Ichimoku So far, this drop can still be inte...

[Trading Journal] Bitcoin Short Position Review: The Textbook Example of Confluence Trading and Profit Taking

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Hi! This is WBT from the Chartinfo team. In my last Nasdaq trading journal, I reviewed a painful stop-loss caused by a subjective counter-trend trade. This time, learning from that mistake, I’ll review a Bitcoin (BTC) short position from May 6, 2026, where I successfully made a profit based on strictly objective "confluence." Precise Entry: Reasons for the $82,285 Short Position The key to this trade was finding a strong Confluence Zone where multiple technical indicators overlapped. Here are the three main reasons why I entered a short position at $82,285. Resistance at the top of the ascending channel Although Bitcoin broke through the $80,000 line with strong momentum, I was confident it would be difficult to overshoot past the top of the channel in one go. The upper resistance line of the channel I drew pointed exactly to $82,285.38. Long-term trendline resistance connecting previous highs Beyond just the channel, a descending trendline connecting the major swing highs of...

[Trading Journal] Nasdaq Short Position Review: The Cost of Subjective Counter-Trend Trading

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Hello! I'm WBT from the Chartinfo team. Today, I want to review my Nasdaq (NQ) futures trade from April 30, 2026. Unfortunately, it ended up hitting my stop loss, but this failure really hammered home some ironclad rules I need to stick to as a trader. Trade Setup and Result: Right Direction, Wrong Timing While NQ futures were on a continuous bullish rally, I figured it had reached a point where a pullback was overdue, so I entered a short position at 27,446.94. The RSI was sitting in the overbought zone on both the 15m and 1h timeframes, and I used the top of the ascending channel as my resistance entry. Sadly, the price wicked my SL (Stop Loss) around 27,549 before it actually started dumping. My directional bias wasn't wrong, but I ended up locking in a $20 loss anyway. Painful Mistake 1: Limited Capital and a Tight Stop Loss My first mistake was setting my SL way too tight. Since our prop trading capital was super limited at just $500, I couldn't handle too much risk an...

[Oil Breaks $105.62] The Start of High Oil Prices? Key Trading Strategies via Charts

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May 1, 2026 Hello! This is WBT from the ChartInfo team. The crude oil ($CL) market has been looking pretty intense lately. Oil prices closed above the $105.62 resistance level—a previous major swing high—on the daily chart, showing strong upward momentum. Since this major resistance zone was broken, many are worried if we're truly heading toward the previous high of $117 or even higher. While anxiety about an era of high oil prices is growing, as traders, let's look at the chart signals objectively. Key Buying Zone to Watch on a Pullback: $95.4 ~ $98 If prices take a temporary breather (retracement) after this strong rally, the first support zone we should watch is around $95.4 to $98. This area is where several strong technical factors overlap: Support from key moving averages on the 4-hour (4h) timeframe. Alignment with the 0.382 ~ 0.5 Fibonacci retracement levels. When multiple reasons line up like this, there’s a high probability of strong buying interest coming in. Convers...

[Oil Breaks $100 Again] Chartinfo's Spot-On Scenario and Future Trading Strategies

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Hello! This is WBT from the Chartinfo team. Recently, crude oil ($CL) prices have broken above $100 again, showing strong upward momentum. As an extension of our previous post, today we will review the recent flow of oil prices and check the trading scenarios we should prepare for moving forward. Reviewing Previous Analysis: $95 Support and the $79 Bottom In our previous analysis, after predicting a drop from $117, we checked whether the $95 key price level would hold as support. We expected that if this support broke, a bigger drop would occur, forming a bottom around $78. In reality, oil formed a bottom at $79 and then bounced back up to around $95. Eventually, this key price level was broken, and oil has once again reclaimed $100. Sharp Insight: What Skipping the Retest Means The key point to note here is this. Oil went straight up without retesting the bottom of the channel, which was the $77 to $78 zone. Watching this flow, I had a strong suspicion. I thought that if buying pressu...

Prop Firm vs Personal Broker Account: Why Smart Traders are Moving Back to Personal Accounts

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The rise of prop firms has completely changed the retail trading landscape. The idea of trading a $100,000  account for just a few hundred dollars in fees is incredibly tempting. But as thousands of traders are finding out the hard way, passing a challenge and actually keeping the funded account are two very different things. Hello, this is CHARTINFO. As an official partner of several globally recognized brokers, I have seen many traders succeed and fail. Today, let’s break down the hidden realities of prop firms and why many professional traders are moving back to trading their own capital through personal broker accounts. The Hidden Traps of Prop Firms *  The Drawdown Trap: Prop firms don't just measure your loss from your starting balance. Many use "trailing drawdowns," meaning as your profit goes up, your maximum allowed loss moves up with it. It’s designed to make you fail eventually. *  Psychological Pressure: Trading someone else's money with strict daily los...

[WTI Crude Oil / $CL] Price Action & Key Target Zones Following the US-Iran Issue

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 [Oil Futures Chart Analysis]  Hello, I'm WBT of ChartInfo  Oil Price Direction and Key Entry Points Following the US-Iran Issue Current Oil Price Situation and Chart Analysis Oil prices have surged recently due to the war issue between the US and Iran. The price of oil hit $119.48 at one point and is currently moving sideways as it somewhat stabilizes.  Looking at the chart, you can see that the price deviated significantly from the Bollinger Bands standard deviation of 2, briefly hit a high, and then came down. Because of this, a rapid expansion of the Bollinger Bands did not occur simultaneously. Since coming down from the high, it has been moving sideways without a clear direction, but looking at the detailed movements, there are points worth noting.  The green area in the chart photo represents the Bollinger Bands for the current timeframe, while the gray background represents the Daily Bollinger Bands. CL1! 4H  4-Hour (4h) Timeframe and Key Indicator ...

Time to consider a Bitcoin short

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Hello, this is ChartInfo. I've written an analysis on Bitcoin on TradingView. I hope this helps!  https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT/KjIfO4wQ-Bitcoin-you-should-consider-entering-a-short-68K-69k/ Stop Leaving Money on the Table – Get 90% rebate Chartinfo - CFD Rebate provider Every trade you make without a rebate is a missed profit. Chartinfo is a trusted CFD rebate provider dedicated to maximizing your returns through seamless cashback solutions. Click here to visit our website and start earning today!

2026 Geopolitical Risk: A Guide to Trading Responses by War Scenario

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Hello, this is CHARTINFO , an official partner of major global brokers. ​ Recently, as uncertainty in the global landscape has escalated to the extreme, market volatility is reaching its threshold. The various geopolitical shocks emerging in 2026 are highly likely to act as "Black Swans" that change the paradigm of the market, going beyond mere one-off fluctuations. ​ In this crisis situation, we summarize the strategic response rules that traders must master in order to protect their assets and respond to the market with a cool head. 1. Risk Management: Focus on [Survival] Rather Than [Prediction] In extreme event situations such as war, the market is driven by fear, not logic. The thing to be most wary of at this time is aggressive betting overconfident in one's own predictions. * Securing Cash Reserves: When volatility expands, secure liquidity by cashing out at least 30% to 50% of your portfolio. Cash serves as a psychological defense line in a bear market and becom...

Bitcoin Outlook by Chart-Info March 29, 2026

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 [Bitcoin Market Analysis] "Different from last April's correction" Two technical reasons warning of a decline Hello. With the recent increase in Bitcoin market volatility, many investors are likely concerned about the market's direction. In today's post, I would like to analyze the current Bitcoin chart and share my personal perspective. To jump straight to the conclusion: "The decline (correction) of Bitcoin that lasted until April last year is qualitatively different from this year's decline." I have summarized two clear technical reasons why we should suspect a structural downtrend rather than a simple correction. 📉 First Reason: Collapse of the 75K Support Level and Weekly Trend Break The first thing to note is the collapse of major price levels. Bitcoin, which had been following a solid upward trend, failed to hold the 75K support level and broke down. Subsequently, it fell to 63K, marking a new lower low. This signifies more than just a price...

Weekly Bullish Close for Gold. A Reversal to an Uptrend?

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 I previously wrote about a massive correction approaching for Gold. While a significant correction has already occurred, I believed at the time that there was a high probability of further decline. However, considering the current charts and various geopolitical issues, it seems unlikely for prices to drop significantly, even if there is a major correction following the recent rally. Let’s explore the reasons behind this. War  : As everyone knows, Gold plummeted recently due to profit-taking after a massive rally, but it remains a fundamental safe-haven asset. When wars and various global issues arise, the demand for Gold inevitably increases. Gold as a Speculative Asset in China : Massive buying by Chinese investors has been a major driving force behind the upward momentum. Although Gold prices have dropped significantly, demand from China remains high. This is partly because the economic situation for ordinary Chinese citizens is poor, and there are few banks deemed reliab...

A historic Gold correction is approaching. Be careful.

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Hello, this is Chart Info. Today, we will discuss Gold, the most traded commodity in the world. After reaching $5,500, Gold experienced a crash of over 20%. However, I do not believe this is the bottom. The weekly RSI has broken below 50, and the monthly RSI is coming down from the overbought zone.  Monthly trends are extremely powerful. Bitcoin also experienced a drop from 126k to 60k due to the strong bearish trend on the weekly and monthly timeframes. As a safe-haven asset, Gold will eventually rise. However, what you need to know is that there could be a historical decline unlike anything we have experienced. Gold has not seen a monthly oversold condition since the year 2000. I don't think it will go all the way to oversold, but I believe it will at least test the monthly RSI 50. I consider seeing the price start with a 3 to be a foregone conclusion. Just as Gold has had a tremendous rally so far, the correction will be just as powerful. There are also significant factors for t...

03 - 20 - 2026 Bitcoin Market Outlook by ChartInfo

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 Due to the ongoing geopolitical tensions , Bitcoin has also experienced a significant drawdown . Since the 4-hour Bollinger Bands are currently narrowing (squeezing) , I recommend staying sidelined and waiting for a clearer signal. Stop Leaving Money on the Table – Get 90% rebate Chartinfo - CFD Rebate provider Every trade you make without a rebate is a missed profit. Chartinfo is a trusted CFD rebate provider dedicated to maximizing your returns through seamless cashback solutions. Click here to visit our website and start earning today!

Bitcoin Outlook by Chart-Info March 17 2026

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  Bitcoin Outlook by Chart-Info Hello, this is Chart-Info. I haven't posted since my last bullish (Long) outlook on Bitcoin. Currently, I have taken profit (TP) and am staying on the sidelines, watching the market. To be clear, I didn't close my position because I thought the bullish trend had snapped; I simply felt I had captured enough gains and decided to exit the position . As previously mentioned, the Bitcoin chart is currently very favorable for Longs .  https://chartinfo1019.blogspot.com/2026/03/please-go-long-on-bitcoin.html#more On March 16th, Bitcoin even broke through the Daily 60 MA (Moving Average) in a single move. The yellow line is 60 MA. In my view, while there may be some shaking the price up and down, I expect Bitcoin to reach at least 80K . Looking at the 3-day chart , I believe there is a possibility of it hitting 86K , where the 240 MA sits. If it reaches the 3-day 240 MA, I am considering opening a Short position . The purple line is 240 MA Since Bit...

The Beginning of the Nasdaq Downtrend

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Hello, this is ChartInfo. Today, we’ll be discussing shorting the Nasdaq . Currently, the Nasdaq is showing a strong bearish trend as multiple geopolitical issues overlap with private credit fund redemption concerns. As I mentioned in my previous post, I’m glad to see the short signal play out as expected. However, one thing you must keep in mind is that the Nasdaq tends to move upward in the long run. Don’t forget to take profit and exit your positions once you’ve secured a reasonable gain. Here are three key factors you need to understand regarding the current market situation 1. Geopolitical Issues (War) With the ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran, oil prices are skyrocketing. Crude oil is a critical driver of the global economy; when prices rise, it puts a strain on citizens worldwide. Naturally, as war breaks out and oil prices climb, demand for safe-haven assets increases, driving the US Dollar (USD) higher. As the dollar shifts from weakness to strength , the Nas...

Why It's Still Too Early to Short the Nasdaq

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In my previous analysis, I mentioned that bearish momentum was strengthening. I’m writing this follow-up because I’m concerned some of you might have jumped into short positions based solely on that observation. Since my perspective is focused on the long-term trend, it won't be too late to enter once the trendline is clearly broken and a retest occurs. The most critical point to note is that the long-term trendline was briefly pierced on March 9, 2026 . However, if you check the daily candle close , you’ll see it finished above the trendline. Therefore, we should consider the trendline still intact. The market won't make it that easy to catch a short. It will likely drag out the time, eventually pushing the index down alongside surfacing negative news. Don’t forget: because the daily candle closed above the trendline, the trendline cannot be considered broken. Stop Leaving Money on the Table – Get 90% rebate Chartinfo - CFD Rebate provider Every trade you make w...

Nasdaq at a Crossroads: Is a Short Impending?

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  Nasdaq at a Crossroads: Is a Short Impending? The global stock market is currently standing at a critical crossroads . With the outbreak of war, there has been a strong shift toward safe-haven assets , and the U.S. unemployment rate has also risen. Various markets that seemed to rise without end, such as Korea and Taiwan, are now showing a sharp downward trend . The Nasdaq has also broken below a long-term trendline that had previously provided support multiple times. I am not a "permabear" (short devotee), but considering the current geopolitical issues and the chart patterns, I believe it is a fact that short positions are more favorable than longs at this point. However, since market makers (whales) rarely give away profits easily, I recommend that if you do go short, use low leverage and set your stop-loss somewhat wide. Looking at the image above, the market is currently undergoing a retest of the long-term trendline. If this retest fails, a significant drawdo...

Why Shorting the USD is a High-Risk Strategy in March

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  Why Shorting the USD is a High-Risk Strategy Right Now While some market participants are betting on a weaker dollar, macroeconomic indicators suggest continued strength. Here are three critical reasons why entering a short position prematurely could be a costly mistake. 1. Sticky Inflation and the Fed’s Hawkish Stance As U.S. inflation cools slower than anticipated, hopes for early rate cuts have faded. With the Federal Reserve maintaining a "higher-for-longer" policy, the dollar’s appeal in carry trades remains robust due to the significant yield advantage . https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/markets-and-economy/economy/fed-meeting-january-2026 2. Global Slowdown and Safe-Haven Status In contrast to the sluggish recovery in Europe and China, the U.S. economy continues to demonstrate remarkable resilience . During periods of global economic uncertainty, capital tends to flow into the greenback—a phenomenon known as flight to quality or safe-haven buying . 3. Risk of a T...

March 2026 Market Outlook: Navigating Geopolitical Spikes and Fed Volatility

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Hello, this is CHARTINFO . As we enter March 2026, the global financial landscape is shifting rapidly. With escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Federal Reserve’s "higher-for-longer" stance on interest rates, traders are witnessing a significant Risk-Off sentiment. In this post, I will break down the key levels and strategies you need to survive this week. 💭 Asset Analysis Gold (XAU/USD): Gold has recently surged, breaking through a major psychological resistance. Investors are flocking to Safe-Haven assets to hedge against uncertainty. Bitcoin (BTC): Despite its "digital gold" narrative, BTC is currently showing a high correlation with tech stocks, testing a Critical Support level. Watch out for a potential Liquidity Sweep below the recent lows before any reversal. Crude Oil (WTI): Supply chain fears are driving oil prices higher. Keep an eye on the Bullish Momentum if the price sustains above the 20-day EMA.